Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-08-2010, 06:51 PM
GenuineRisk's Avatar
GenuineRisk GenuineRisk is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,986
Default

If you have a horse breeding say, 100 mares, at $10,000 each, that's a million dollars per year. How many horses earn that in a year?

Figure the Derby winner or BCC winner can get $30,000 to $50,000, and that's three to five million for the year. He'd pretty much have to win the Dubai World Cup or the BCC every year to approach that.

If racing was serious about keeping horses on the track, they'd limit the number of mares each stallion could breed (they already do to some extent, by requiring it be natural cover, so it's not impossible), but that's not likely.

Or require them to be five or six before they can breed. Again, na gan hapen.

On the bright side, two of the last ten Derby winners were geldings.
__________________
Gentlemen! We're burning daylight! Riders up! -Bill Murray
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-08-2010, 06:53 PM
GenuineRisk's Avatar
GenuineRisk GenuineRisk is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,986
Default

Cannon said it better than I. Some of the not-quite-at-the-very-tops will stay around longer, but I doubt many will do it past 4.

Still think it'll be rare to see the Derby winner back at 4 if he's a colt.
__________________
Gentlemen! We're burning daylight! Riders up! -Bill Murray
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-08-2010, 07:12 PM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GenuineRisk
If you have a horse breeding say, 100 mares, at $10,000 each, that's a million dollars per year. How many horses earn that in a year?

Figure the Derby winner or BCC winner can get $30,000 to $50,000, and that's three to five million for the year. He'd pretty much have to win the Dubai World Cup or the BCC every year to approach that.

If racing was serious about keeping horses on the track, they'd limit the number of mares each stallion could breed (they already do to some extent, by requiring it be natural cover, so it's not impossible), but that's not likely.

Or require them to be five or six before they can breed. Again, na gan hapen.

On the bright side, two of the last ten Derby winners were geldings.
But what you dont know (but you will now) is that of those 100 mares there are a whole lot who arent paying that fee. Most bigtime stallions are syndicated. I would guess most are 50 shares now though some are still 40 and others are 60. Each share holder gets a breeding season for his share and for lesser stallions 2 breeding seasons for years 2 and 3. Those people arent paying. A certain number of clients will want to do a foal share which a few years ago was unheard of for a high profile, first year stallion but times are changing. Some people connected to the horse like the trainer get a comp breeding right. Virtually all stallions are stands and nurses so you dont get paid for a year and nor at all if the mare aborts or the foal is born dead (or in bad shape or is crooked because they are often reported as dead)

The restrictions would fly in the face of the realities of the stallion business and would serve to further punish owners of sucessful horses. We need to do what we can to get and keep owners, not restrict their ability to make a windfall profit which will not only help them recover losses but keep them in the game.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-08-2010, 07:23 PM
GenuineRisk's Avatar
GenuineRisk GenuineRisk is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,986
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
But what you dont know (but you will now) is that of those 100 mares there are a whole lot who arent paying that fee. Most bigtime stallions are syndicated. I would guess most are 50 shares now though some are still 40 and others are 60. Each share holder gets a breeding season for his share and for lesser stallions 2 breeding seasons for years 2 and 3. Those people arent paying. A certain number of clients will want to do a foal share which a few years ago was unheard of for a high profile, first year stallion but times are changing. Some people connected to the horse like the trainer get a comp breeding right. Virtually all stallions are stands and nurses so you dont get paid for a year and nor at all if the mare aborts or the foal is born dead (or in bad shape or is crooked because they are often reported as dead)

The restrictions would fly in the face of the realities of the stallion business and would serve to further punish owners of sucessful horses. We need to do what we can to get and keep owners, not restrict their ability to make a windfall profit which will not only help them recover losses but keep them in the game.
It's a valid counterargument, and it also serves to highlight a big issue with horse racing, which is that it's not possible to make a profit racing; money has to be through getting the home run horse who can succeed at stud. Racing wants big horses on the track to attract fans but the owners need big horses they can retire to stud. And most of them will fail at stud, but you won't know that until it's far too late to bring them back to the races.
__________________
Gentlemen! We're burning daylight! Riders up! -Bill Murray
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-08-2010, 07:26 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GenuineRisk
It's a valid counterargument, and it also serves to highlight a big issue with horse racing, which is that it's not possible to make a profit racing; money has to be through getting the home run horse who can succeed at stud. Racing wants big horses on the track to attract fans but the owners need big horses they can retire to stud. And most of them will fail at stud, but you won't know that until it's far too late to bring them back to the races.
There is money to be made like Gill was doing it..Slot tracks with high purse levels for horrendous horses. If you had 20 geldings like my pig you would be fine.. Racing horrible laimos threated with legal rugs that allows them to not feel shiiiit seems to be the NEW race market..Why I have NO clue
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 03-08-2010, 07:31 PM
GenuineRisk's Avatar
GenuineRisk GenuineRisk is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,986
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
Racing horrible laimos threated with legal rugs that allows them to not feel shiiiit seems to be the NEW race market..Why I have NO clue
Err... can someone translate for me, please? My Freddymoese is a bit rusty and since I'm pregnant I can't drink, which usually helps with the translation.
__________________
Gentlemen! We're burning daylight! Riders up! -Bill Murray
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 03-08-2010, 07:32 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GenuineRisk
Err... can someone translate for me, please? My Freddymoese is a bit rusty and since I'm pregnant I can't drink, which usually helps with the translation.
Drugs not rugs...Drinking is fine when you are with child..Trust me
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 03-08-2010, 07:37 PM
GenuineRisk's Avatar
GenuineRisk GenuineRisk is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,986
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
Drugs not rugs...Drinking is fine when you are with child..Trust me
Oohhhhhh! Thank you. I was trying to figure out how carpeting was a factor and then wondered if you were making a statement about synthetic tracks.
__________________
Gentlemen! We're burning daylight! Riders up! -Bill Murray
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 03-08-2010, 07:44 PM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
There is money to be made like Gill was doing it..Slot tracks with high purse levels for horrendous horses. If you had 20 geldings like my pig you would be fine.. Racing horrible laimos threated with legal rugs that allows them to not feel shiiiit seems to be the NEW race market..Why I have NO clue
Gill was not making money
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 03-08-2010, 07:54 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Gill was not making money
Challenge...with the red flag...Your math is suspect
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 03-08-2010, 08:04 PM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
Challenge...with the red flag...Your math is suspect
Here let me explain without delving into the the numbers which overwhelmingly prove my point. If he was making money, he wouldnt have given up so easily.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 03-08-2010, 07:40 PM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GenuineRisk
It's a valid counterargument, and it also serves to highlight a big issue with horse racing, which is that it's not possible to make a profit racing; money has to be through getting the home run horse who can succeed at stud. Racing wants big horses on the track to attract fans but the owners need big horses they can retire to stud. And most of them will fail at stud, but you won't know that until it's far too late to bring them back to the races.
It has never been possible to make a profit racing. Most long term owners are looking to lose less, not make more. There are other occasions where you can make a windfall though. Having a live three year old at this time of the year can be sold for big bucks. A graded stakes winning filly still has value. But it is just too volitile of an investment with too much luck needed to be considered a profitable venture. At least doing it without committing crimes.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 03-08-2010, 07:44 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
It has never been possible to make a profit racing. Most long term owners are looking to lose less, not make more. There are other occasions where you can make a windfall though. Having a live three year old at this time of the year can be sold for big bucks. A graded stakes winning filly still has value. But it is just too volitile of an investment with too much luck needed to be considered a profitable venture. At least doing it without committing crimes.
Midwest TB's and Ness are expanding their operations after great success?
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 03-08-2010, 07:45 PM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
Midwest TB's and Ness are expanding their operations after great success?
See the last sentence?
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 03-08-2010, 07:48 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
See the last sentence?
Crimes of passion are sexy... He is 32 and killing it.. He is now expanding into better stock.. he will win graded stakes shortly and IF people dom't catch up they will be training ponys for bday partys soon.. Criminal or not he is earning without risk
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 03-08-2010, 07:57 PM
GenuineRisk's Avatar
GenuineRisk GenuineRisk is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,986
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
It has never been possible to make a profit racing. Most long term owners are looking to lose less, not make more. There are other occasions where you can make a windfall though. Having a live three year old at this time of the year can be sold for big bucks. A graded stakes winning filly still has value. But it is just too volitile of an investment with too much luck needed to be considered a profitable venture. At least doing it without committing crimes.
If that's the case, then, why worry about whether new owners to the game are going to make money or not, and do what you can to keep the stars on the track? On the one hand, you say, we need to attract new owners and keep them so they need to be able to attempt to make as much money as they can breeding. On the other hand, you say it's never been possible to make money racing no matter what (I think you're right, by the way).

Depending on breeding to keep racing afloat results, I think, in inflated sales prices because the horses are being sold as breeding prospects from the start.

Poor horse racing- depending on wealthy dynasties, then breeding syndicates, and now slots. It's really the ultimate charity case, isn't it?
__________________
Gentlemen! We're burning daylight! Riders up! -Bill Murray
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 03-08-2010, 08:08 PM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GenuineRisk
If that's the case, then, why worry about whether new owners to the game are going to make money or not, and do what you can to keep the stars on the track? On the one hand, you say, we need to attract new owners and keep them so they need to be able to attempt to make as much money as they can breeding. On the other hand, you say it's never been possible to make money racing no matter what (I think you're right, by the way).

Depending on breeding to keep racing afloat results, I think, in inflated sales prices because the horses are being sold as breeding prospects from the start.

Poor horse racing- depending on wealthy dynasties, then breeding syndicates, and now slots. It's really the ultimate charity case, isn't it?
If you had the money would you buy a racehorse?
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:50 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.