Belmont Fractions

[CSC]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

I don't get the argument that he couldn't have beaten Summer Bird. The horse went 22.92 from a mile to 10 furlongs and then 26.36 from 10 furlongs home. You don't think if he sat in a more reasonable 24 seconds or even in 23.5 that he would have had tons more in the tank to go more than 26.36 for the final two furlongs?

I think Drugs addressed this yesterday and he is probably the best person here that can explain the raw numbers discussion so I am not even going to try, the problem with the 'if' scenario is we will never know, we will never know how fast he could have run from 1 1/4 to 1 1/2 on a lightning fast track, once again my opinion is he is not a 1 1/2 horse or certainly not as effective at a 1 1/4.

What we do know is that Summer Bird could have probably kept running another furlong or 2 if need be, he was the only horse that was not spent after the race, I do believe had Kent Gotten him out earlier he would made this discussion a mute-moot one. The horse was feeling so good, Kent had his hands full down the backstretch that no one talks about him running up on heels causing him to check/steady atleast twice by my count. It was hardly a perfect trip in my opinion just as it was not a bad trip either. He was simply the best horse for this type of race/track/distance.