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Old 06-03-2009, 11:50 PM
Bobby Fischer's Avatar
Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 2,401
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I see Mine That Bird struggling to get 3rd or 4th here. This ought to be an honest race, and I am in the minority who thinks that MTB is a better 9 or 10 furlong horse than 12 furlongs.

Charitable Man seems to be the standout talent from watching his races.
Extra credit like strong conduit mare pedigree, brazenly (over)confident handling only boost my confidence.

Dunkirk is a little bit of an unknown. He was in my top 3 or 4 classic distance 3yos and none of the others are still around. Stumble in the Derby was pretty bad. I usually don't like Velazquez unless he has presser who can sit outside the pace. Could the pace work out that way here?
Have plenty of doubts about Dunkirk, but can not toss from win.

Of the longer shot horses, Brave Victory seems ok to me for maybe a single 3rd or 4th on a single race exotic. He showed tactical speed initially as a 2yo. Swale Lexington PeterPan were 3 impossible races for Brave Victory, and he responded pretty well considering. Maragh will give an effort and he has a little bit of a middle move in him.

Chocolate Candy rounds out my chalkiest of trifecta/superfecta thoughts
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