Who Will Be The Pace Setter In The Derby?

[CSC]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

That's a poor interpretation of the Robert Lewis.

I was more or less addressing a thread where Drugs pointed out Well Armed couldn't hold a lead in a race when he ran on SA Pro ride as to what some feel is a closer friendly surface, but he did move up quite substantially I might add when he ran on Dubai dirt, that is why I posed the question as to what his thoughts were of Papa Clem and shouldn't this philosophy apply to this horse.

My point is even if this horse turns out to be a slug, if Pro ride is closer biased artificial turf. Shouldn't Papa Clem's race be upgraded?

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by CSC

I was more or less addressing a thread where Drugs pointed out Well Armed couldn't hold a lead in a race when he ran on SA Pro ride as to what some feel is a closer friendly surface, but he did move up quite substantially I might add when he ran on Dubai dirt, that is why I posed the question as to what his thoughts were of Papa Clem and shouldn't this philosophy apply to this horse.

My point is even if this horse turns out to be a slug, if Pro ride is closer biased artificial turf. Shouldn't Papa Clem's race be upgraded?

He's the chart for the race. I don't think that PC's effort should be upgraded. The race clearly favored on the pace horses. And, the fact that the majority of them stuck around is good evidence that the pace was slow (for those that choose to look at it from that perspective).

Either way, POTN ran huge.

And, maybe, IWR's effort wasn't that bad, given the circumstances, as he was the only one to make any kind of move other than the winner

[CSC]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

He's the chart for the race. I don't think that PC's effort should be upgraded. The race clearly favored on the pace horses. And, the fact that the majority of them stuck around is good evidence that the pace was slow (for those that choose to look at it from that perspective).

Either way, POTN ran huge.

I know... we are in agreement that pro ride should be termed a fair surface. I read your posts...

[CSC]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

He's the chart for the race. I don't think that PC's effort should be upgraded.

Your chart indicated PC & IWR having almost identical trips, visually I was more impressed by PC's race rather than POTN, anyone other than Gomez riding and I probably wouldn't say so. Typical Gomez to get up, needless to say I think they both ran good races.

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by CSC

Your chart indicated PC & IWR having almost identical trips, visually I was more impressed by PC's race rather than POTN, anyone other than Gomez riding and I probably wouldn't say so. Typical Gomez to get up, needless to say I think they both ran good races.

I didn't think that to be the case: the chart clearly shows IWR to have run the better race -- or, at least, a distinctive race.

I took a look at the race to see why you thought PC's race was 'visually' impressive. I found IWR 1 path wider on each turn and drifting significantly in the lane (not Talamo's best effort). Of course, POLY experts will tell you that saving ground is not significant on that surface.

But, it's increasing become LESS about what I see in the race and MORE about what the charts indicate. And, when Trakus becomes commonplace (and we have more calls in addition to more accurate ones) then I probably won't be watching many replays at all. 'Visually' impressive trips can only get me so far as most horses are really not much better than their setup on a given day.

[CSC]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

I didn't think that to be the case: the chart clearly shows IWR to have run the better race -- or, at least, a distinctive race.

I took a look at the race to see why you thought PC's race was 'visually' impressive. I found IWR 1 path wider on each turn and drifting significantly in the lane (not Talamo's best effort). Of course, POLY experts will tell you that saving ground is not significant on that surface.

But, it's increasing become LESS about what I see in the race and MORE about what the charts indicate. And, when Trakus becomes commonplace (and we have more calls in addition to more accurate ones) then I probably won't be watching many replays at all. 'Visually' impressive trips can only get me so far as most horses are really not much better than their setup on a given day.

Discussing race dynamic is precarious but I thought PC got pressed by IWR on the turn, it looked like IWR was going by with big MO, usually a horse that makes that type of move will end up winning a race, however PC was able to re-rally. Regardless whether IWR is not as good on Synth than dirt, I liked that fight in PC, in addition POTN was so deep in the track I'm not sure PC could see him out there. This is all debatable stuff but one thing I do like about Papa Clem is he has shown he has a heart.

[Bobby Fischer]

we should be discussing race dynamics a lot more than we do.

An alternative (and not necessarily correct) way to view the Robert Lewis , Is that all the horses who quit(markS , Oilman, shafted, brother keith, charliesmoment) simply SUCKED, and that they had very little to do with setup whatsover.

[HaloWishingwell]

PIONEEROF THE NILE worked 4 furlongs in 46:20 at Santa Anita. Even though he hasn't shown it yet as rank as he was the last race, could he show the way if no one wants it?