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Old 04-12-2009, 02:36 PM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,778
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
Here's what TheGreek currently is offering:

I Want Revenge ** 4.65
Dunkirk ** 5.25
Quality Road ** 6.25
Friesan Fire ** 10.15
Pioneer of the Nile ** 10.15
Papa Clem ** 20.50
Desert Party ** 18.15
Terrain ** 25.50
Chocolate Candy ** 18.15
Musket Man ** 25.50
Square Eddie ** 30.50
General Quarters ** 30.50
Regal Ransom ** 30.50
West Side Bernie ** 40.50
Win Willy ** 40.50
Hold Me Back ** 40.50
Mafaaz ** 60.50
Mine That Bird ** 80.50
Charitable Man ** 80.50

That's a 9% line. Dunkirk is probably too low, but the rest of the numbers look like reasonable estimates of what the odds will be. (as you say, excluding possible dramatic changes from the Lexington or because of injury dropouts.)

--Dunbar
How the hell does QR go off longer than Dunkirk given his last two races? This insane desire to make Dunkirk more than his races show is exceeded only by the psychotic hype of POTN. What has Dunkirk actually done that doesn't deserve a line of 10-1 or better. If he was the best horse in the Florida Derby he would have accelerated right by QR at the top of the stretch but he gassed like the silver and bronze he will be at best in the derby.
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