How does one approach this?

[Bobby Fischer]

you don't want a really weak speed horse that is going to quit with the least bit of difficulty , but this ain't Keeneland. It isn't exactly two turf courses...
Keeneland's main track may actually be harder on route speed than it's turf course. I don't know that speed is a death sentence here.

I think you have to get on calracing and watch the allowance races at the distances, and you have to pay close mind to the surface this weekend.