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Originally Posted by Dunbar
I disagree, BTW. I think there is more downside to running him again. He is still the Derby and Preakness winner. And even if he doesn't run again, there's probably a 75% chance he'll be the 3-yr-old Eclipse winner.
His loss in the Belmont was so thorough that they can find some hairline fracture to blame it on and then retire him. I think there's much better than a 50/50 chance he never runs again.
If he runs again and loses again, then they're in trouble value-wise. (Unless they find that hairline fracture and blame both races on it!)
--Dunbar
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I'm not saying he has
no downside. But, with his breeding, he's at the bottom end of what he could be worth considering his accomplishments.
You could argue both sides. I think they want to race him to give him back some luster.
06-10-2008, 03:49 PM
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