Bettors....what would you do?

[GPK]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

1. GPK, the article is only relevant to the times that quinella betting is offered in the same race as exactas. This is definitely a small minority of races.

2. Yes, it is. It only requires easy arithmetic.

All you need to understand is "An alternate form of the Q-Test would be to ask if Ex*Er/(Ex+Er) > Q". Ex and Er are the payoffs for the exacta and exacta reverse, and Q is the quinella payoff. When the left side is bigger than Q, it is better to create the bet by using exactas.

If you look at the one day at Santa Anita in the examples, you'll see that sometimes the quinellas paid 22% more than a bet constructed from the exacta and exacta revers. And sometimes it was the other way around.

Anytime you have a choice of two ways of betting, and one might be 22% better than the other, that's good info to have.

3. A quinella is different than an exacta box. An exacta box payoff will generally depend on which of the 2 horses wins. But you can make exacta bets that look like a quinella by adjusting the amount bet on each of the 2 exactas so that the payoff will be almost the same. By doing this, you create a "pseudo-quinella". The article explains how to tell which is better, the quinella or the "pseudo-quinella".



My limit for these is about 2.8K; just about the same ratio to your limits as on the horse bets.

--Dunbar

Just start calling you "big money"