War Pass out with fracture

Originally Posted by hi_im_god

this is utter nonsense.

if he inherits the lead he'll be happy to slow it down. if no chancers like recapitulatecowtowncat want to run off, he'll stalk and wait for them to back up.

there is no one whose chances rise more than big brown's on this news.

Well Jerry Bailey, Dutrow, and most importantly me , disagree. 10f is a long way to run on the front. Horses don't always slow down when they hear 19 horses behind them. The 45 and change fractions he has set in his two dirt races don't cut it in a 10f race. That stretch gets mighty long when you have nothing to shoot at and the cavalry starts coming. That last 1/8th has taken out many a good horse that has more than 3 career races to his credit. Kent seems to be a better rider with something to shoot at too.