hypothetical derby

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by JJP

Here's my line

1. Giacomo 75-1
2. Rock Hard Ten 30-1
3. Congaree 25-1
4. Aptitude 20-1
5. Peace Rules 50-1
6. Birdstone 25-1
7. Point Given 6-1
8. Barbaro 7-1
9. Afleet Alex 9-1
10. Smarty Jones 10-1
11. Fusaichi Pegasus 15-1
12. Empire Maker 12-1
13. War Emblem 15-1
14. Funny Cide 20-1
15. Bernardini 10-1
16. Red Bullet 30-1
17. Monarchos 12-1
18. Perfect Drift 30-1
19. Ten Most Wanted 20-1
20. Proud Citizen 75-1

First of all let me congratulate the original poster on a pretty good list. I kept thinking that there had to be somebody better than Proud Citizen to include on the list....but I actually can't think of anyone.
Secondly, JJP's line seems fairly reasonable and if those were the odds I would be putting my money on what I see as the value horses. They are:

#6 Birdstone - 25/1 - almost always tough on a dry track
#11 FuPeg - 15/1 - looked very good in his derby to be at this price
#16 Red Bullet - 30/1 - definitely capable of hitting the board