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Old 09-19-2007, 12:56 PM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Chicago
Posts: 4,157
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It seems to me like there are a couple of ways to look at this race.
On the one hand, Grasshopper's performance in the Travers was very good given his lack of experience. He might still be able to improve off that effort, especially since he is cutting back to 9f, which - I think - will be a better distance for him than the 10f of the Travers. In terms of speed figs, I don't think there is anybody pointing to this race who approaches the 107 BSF he ran in the Travers.
On the other hand, Grasshopper's biggest claim to fame is that he battled Street Sense so gamely down the stretch and was very close to that one at the finish line. However, Street Sense - for all of his abilities and accomplishmnets - does tend to hang a bit, which can make his competition look like they are "digging in" or "battling" a bit more than they might be in reality.
I guess what I am saying is that Grasshopper's Travers might be overrated in a way that makes him overbet in this race, but if the only colts that show up to take him on are Going Ballistic and others of that ability level, then it probably won't matter, and he'll win easily.
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