Declan's Crap

[Five Star Derek]

Declans Moon is not going to be fully cranked up his first time out. Why should he be? There are much bigger and better races to be fully all out for down the road. An allowance doesn't mean anything to the trainer or owners. It's essentially a regulation workout. Highly regarded horses coming off long layoffs are sometimes huge underlays coming into races like this. The public jumps all over them. This can be an exellent wagering oportunity for an astute handicapper who realizes this and plays against the big horse off a long layoff.The public will underestimate DM next time assuming he's not the same. That remains to be seen. He could still be a monster. Lets not forget trainer intention.