Circular Quay

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by SentToStud

We'll see what happens. I'm never overimpressed by big maiden wins where talent just overwhelms in runaway style. Never. I am also as likely to bet against a 99 debut-beyer second out horse as I am to pass the race. It's interesting, but horses that debut so high beyer-wise in free-running fashion often have a hard time running back to their number. So, beware.

For what it's worth, I don't particularly disagree with this in general, but the horse being discussed with the 99 Beyer, Soaring By, did not earn his figure in " free-running fashion ". He broke a tad slow, was not rushed, and made a nice closing move to win off fairly easily. I have no real opinion of his future one way or another, and as always we need to see more races, but it wasn't one of those fast front running victories that often prove unreliable.