Best Derby bets

[flifishri]

Originally Posted by jpops757

Neatly everything you say about Curlin, You could change the name to Barbaro last year. In my opinion SS is the one that is the least affected by post because he will just take up and take the shortcut. SS problem will come in the stretch with holes clogging up and horses blocking path. Borel has made some great choices in the past races but the pressure is on as far as finding a hole or going around. I dont think any are faster than Curlin . Curlin is probably the best at using his speed and relaxing without the jocky having to work too hard at restraining him. I dont think he will need the perfect trip . The big problem is the size of the field could produce a horible trip such as squeezed to far back out of the gate and get hooked wide in first turn. It seems that some are letting there dislike for Assmusen cloud there opinion of this horse. The X factor is the jockey mis timing of his run and watch one of several deep closers beat him to the wire. Dominican.SS,SD, CQ,Tiago,ags and maybe AGS.

Agreed: Unless Curlin draws extreme outside, what's to say Albarado won't take him to the lead and dictate the pace or at least just off it? That's very consistent with his style and this combo Curlin/Albarado rates as well as I've seen. His big move comes on the turn and without a troubled trip they're gonna hafta catch him.