The Pick Four...

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

If you want to play this bet,then you need to play a track where you aren't getting ripped of by insiders pounding money into the p4.Take the p4 you said you played at AQU.

The pick 4 paid $472/1

Hell,if you play your own 4 race win parlay it would pay $534/1

Just because of the fact that you pay juice only once(versus 4 times) should get you atleast $600/1 for this p4(minimum.)This better be rare,or you need to bet another track.The late pick 3 paid $353.50/1,and that is o.k.(beats 3 race win parlay by about $50.)My late p4 at Anita on Wednesday was $520/1.The 4 race win parlay was $212/1.........If you want to play p4,then you need to make sure you get rewarded.They should not be paying less than the win parlay.They should be paying about $100 (or more) than the win parlay.Pay attention to these payoffs.

Excellent post, Scuds.

Another thing to think about, before declaring the Pick 4 a superior bet, is that you may be forcing yourself to bet on races that you would otherwise have passed. The chance that I would want to bet 4 races sequentially is minute. But someone enamored of the Pick 4 will do that routinely. When there are races in the Pick 4 where you have no capping edge, it may more than offset the single-takeout advantage.

--Dunbar