My Derby Trend.....

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Let me further myself in this sillyness......

Here are how all horses that fit the following profile have run in the Kentucky Derby, over the last four years.

Trend: Must meet all of the following in career start #2.

* Start must come between Sep 20th-through-Nov 25th

* Must win the race by a margin of five lengths or more.

* Must run a Beyer figure of 85 or better.

* Race must be at a distance of 7 furlongs or further.


2003: I don't have the Derby past performances for this year, however I know Funny Cide fit the profile. He won and paid $27.60

2004: Two horses fit the profile. They being Smarty Jones and Lion Heart. They ran 1st and 2nd, at odds of 4/1 and 5/1 respectively, and made up a $65.20 exacta.

2005: Two horses fit the profile. They being 50/1 shot Giacomo and 22/1 shot High Limit. Giacomo won and paid $102.60

2006: Two horses fit the profile. They being Barbaro and Bluegrass Cat. They ran 1st and 2nd. The exacta paid $587.00

So, last three years, 6-3-2-0 record. Last four winners all fit. Not bad. No one fits it this year anyway though.