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#1
02-14-2007, 09:26 PM
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So, I guess that means you'll be betting the chalk. 
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#2
02-14-2007, 09:28 PM
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Keep it up....
And I will go photoshop on you about the merits of Appealing Zophie, and her dazzling 2nd place finish at 3-to-10 odds, at Delta Downs
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#3
02-14-2007, 09:30 PM
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Nothing like trends. Most are meaningless.
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#4
02-14-2007, 09:36 PM
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Yes,
However, it would be a little interesting if one of these Derby horses this year was actually close enough to almost fit the trend. I guess Adore The Gold, Day Pass, Nobiz Like Shobiz, and perhaps Belgravia aren't miles away from fitting it.
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#5
02-14-2007, 10:05 PM
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Not entirely.. Fads are meaningless.. Trends tend be impactful..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
02-14-2007, 10:06 PM
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#7
02-14-2007, 10:31 PM
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My personal Derby trend is a mint julep as an eye opener around 8am after staying out all night. That's not a fad after 15 years, and though I have a lot of early speed out of the gate that early, I always pack a big closing kick.
__________________
Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.
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#8
02-14-2007, 11:06 PM
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Let me further myself in this sillyness......
Here are how all horses that fit the following profile have run in the Kentucky Derby, over the last four years. Trend: Must meet all of the following in career start #2. * Start must come between Sep 20th-through-Nov 25th * Must win the race by a margin of five lengths or more. * Must run a Beyer figure of 85 or better. * Race must be at a distance of 7 furlongs or further. 2003: I don't have the Derby past performances for this year, however I know Funny Cide fit the profile. He won and paid $27.60 2004: Two horses fit the profile. They being Smarty Jones and Lion Heart. They ran 1st and 2nd, at odds of 4/1 and 5/1 respectively, and made up a $65.20 exacta. 2005: Two horses fit the profile. They being 50/1 shot Giacomo and 22/1 shot High Limit. Giacomo won and paid $102.60 2006: Two horses fit the profile. They being Barbaro and Bluegrass Cat. They ran 1st and 2nd. The exacta paid $587.00 So, last three years, 6-3-2-0 record. Last four winners all fit. Not bad. No one fits it this year anyway though.
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