kip devile 9/2 vs. showing up 6/1

Originally Posted by mp3

you continue to make points I don't get. You like the fact that showing up raced in a big field and has gained that experience and are willing to disregard that he has never had experience racing on the turf. It is impossible to forecast a horse to gallop when never been over a surface in race conditions. The size of the field also helps KD more than SU because kd will be on the lead while SU will have to work his way through traffic. Not sure I am getting your points

I can assure you of one thing, Showing Up is a better horse on the turf than on the dirt. SU can run on the lead or just off the lead. Did you miss the derby where he ran stride for stride with Barbaro until the last 1/8th mile. Too bad Barbaro isn't around, he would have won this one for fun, even if he had just raced in the Belmont. KD is going to have a tough time getting to the lead from post 14. This isn't the garbage he has been racing against in TX or at Remington Park. Firm turf and SU beats him by 10-12.