9/26: Santa Anita (4th-10th; P6 C/O)

[jms62]

Originally Posted by Kasept

SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: City of Hope (G2), 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Johannes 1-1: Should bounce back on fave course (7 for 7).. WON ($2.40)
Next Best: #6 Cabo Spirit 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Scoobie Cuando 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Almendares 3-1 3rd


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Provenance 1-1: Into Mischief/Monomoy Girl colt got gate blast, turns back.. WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #4 Army Man 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Plagarist 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Rio Grande 7-2 3rd


6th: John Henry (G2), 3+, 10f-T ($3 Turf P3, P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Gold Phoenix 3-2: 1 for 6 at 10f, but still hard to argue against his merits.. WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #6 Stay Hot 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Mondego 9-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Spycatcher 12-1 3rd


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

6: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x2x4 = 24 x $3 = $72


7th: OC-S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Supernal 5-1: SCR
Next Bets: #4 Devil Among Us 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Four O Six Creed 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #8 Ballyvaughn Gig 5-1 7th


P4 Grid:

4: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-4-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x4x3x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)

$1 Pick 4 (3/1/7/7) Paid $27.60 ($13.80 for .50)


8th: Eddie D (G2), 3+, 6.5f-DHT ($3 Late P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 First Peace 9-2: Set for best, 2nd off 11 month hiatus.. 7th
Next Best: #6 Beyond Brilliant 6-1: Shirreffs 7yo continues his career makeover.. 6th
Best Value: #7 Kale's Angel 12-1: Not much on page, but working lights out and lures Hernandez.. 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Reef Runner 3-1: Talented closing sprinter, but can he gut out the hill course trip? WON ($13.00)


$3 Late P3 Grid:

8: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x4x4 = 32 x $3 = $96


9th: Goodwood (G1), 3+, 9f ($5 DD)

Solid group for the Classic prep and a tricky read given what might be a serious pace affair. First Mission and Full Serrano have profiles that typically play well in this and Baffert offers 3yos (Privman/Nevada Beach) that might be capable of forward moves. Glatt's Ultimate Gamble ran a sneaky career best behind Fierceness and Journalism in the PacClassic and wouldn't those 2 be heavy favorites here? That's what I thought..

Best Value: #2 Ultimate Gamble 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 First Mission 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Full Serrano 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Nevada Beach 12-1 WON ($19.00)


$5 Late DD:

9: 2-4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x2 = 8 x $5 = $40

$5 DBL (5-4) Paid $321.50


10th: John Harris (G3), 3yo-F, 65f-DHT (Hi-5)

Deep, difficult finale and especially vexing for your P6 C/O, $3 P3's and $5 DBL ticket-building..

Best Value: #9 Eiffel 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Innovative 5-1 WON ($27.40)
Exotics Use: #11 Wink and a Grin 6-1 10th
Super Add: #1 Warming 7-2 3rd


P6 Grid:

5: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 8 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
10: 4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x2x2x4x2 = 64 x $2 = $128
All A's: 1x2x2x1x2x2 = 16 x $2 = $32


P5 Grid:

6: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-4 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
8: 8 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-9 (A), - (B), 1-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-11 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

7: 3-4 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
8: 6-8 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)
9: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-9 (A), 1-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (ACAA): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-7 in 8th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

Nice Job on that Double... It really came back light vs Parlay you deserved more.