Two at Toga (2025)

[theguarantee]

7/16/25:

Best Bet: Race 9 #5 Charlotte's Heat 9/2 - Debated between her and Trail of Gold here I just think she's likely going to be a better price and I liked the debut, Casse is firing and I think this is the one horse who might just be more talented that the rest...bit of a weird path here but that could be muddying up the form and Castellano being aboard should ensure at least an OK price.

Best Value: Race 5 #2 Illmatic 7/2 - Not sure what kind of price to expect here but this seems like a field that it's hard to project and he looks most talented/best suited for this race today...the slow turf work will maybe get us better than expect value but he is bred for this and has the right connections to be a winner in here to me...couldn't really come up with any big prices today so I'll take a shot here and hope he proves best.

Good luck everyone.

[theguarantee]

Originally Posted by theguarantee

7/16/25:

Best Bet: Race 9 #5 Charlotte's Heat 9/2 - Debated between her and Trail of Gold here I just think she's likely going to be a better price and I liked the debut, Casse is firing and I think this is the one horse who might just be more talented that the rest...bit of a weird path here but that could be muddying up the form and Castellano being aboard should ensure at least an OK price.

Best Value: Race 5 #2 Illmatic 7/2 - Not sure what kind of price to expect here but this seems like a field that it's hard to project and he looks most talented/best suited for this race today...the slow turf work will maybe get us better than expect value but he is bred for this and has the right connections to be a winner in here to me...couldn't really come up with any big prices today so I'll take a shot here and hope he proves best.

Good luck everyone.

I thought Illmatic (great name, by far the greatest hip hop album of all time IMO, guessing not too many on this board care ) ran really well setting a suicidal pace while never getting comfortable and finding a little bit in the lane before being swallowed up...I'd say look for second out because I think that horse has some real ability and seemed like it might need one or possibly a little more ground...certainly needs less pace...but probably will be fairly obvious second time out so will be interesting to see where Miguel goes from here...

Charlotte's Heart took some money and I had way too much confidence in my cap on that race because all my horses and her finished near the back of the pack...can't say I loved the ride Javier gave her but she ultimately had nothing anyway. Back to the drawing board tomorrow...

Wagered: $64.00
Returned: $114.60