Count Fleet

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

Thanks for your input.

Generally handicapping question though, even though it's hard to create a hypothetical situation with so many factors at work; if a horse didn't win off a bias and had those sort of increases in Beyers, would you stay away from him or not? (assuming the odds were fair)

That's a bit too general as I look at a lot of factors. Horses that run good races without any trip advantages did just that....ran a good race. How that stacks up against the competition is what matters to me. I don't really think about horses showing improvement as though they are climbing some sort of ladder and thus rate to continue to improve, not to say I would criticize someone who does, it just isn't how I evaluate horses and races.

I don't believe in " bounce " at all if that is in any way what you are asking.