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  #1  
Old 02-25-2016, 10:27 PM
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PROVOCATIVE

filly, Zabeel-Betwixt

Trainer: Tony Pike (no Derby wins)
Jockey: Leith Innes (Wahid 2006)

4 starts
2 wins
0 seconds
0 thirds

NZ$18,275

6th Avondale Guineas

Her win at Ellerslie two starts ago was unbelievable. Front-runners were winning that day, but she came from the back and blew them away.

I thought she would be hard to beat in the Avondale Guineas, but she got a long way back and had too much work to do in the stretch. But she was finishing well, and she is definitely one of the leading chances in this race.

Zabeel has sired three Derby winners - Zonda (1997), Hades (1999) and St Reims (2002). This is the first Derby since the legendary sire died in September 2015.
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  #2  
Old 02-26-2016, 08:07 PM
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Excellent racing so far today, particularly at Matamata. Aotearower was amazing! She deserved that after all her unlucky races recently.
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  #3  
Old 02-26-2016, 09:02 PM
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Congrats to Matt Cameron for his 1000 wins. VERY nice performance from Heroic Valour.
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  #4  
Old 02-26-2016, 09:46 PM
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Wow, Gold Rush! I didn't expect that, but it was a heck of a gutsy performance.
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  #5  
Old 02-26-2016, 10:07 PM
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Volkstok'n'barrell! Welcome back big guy.
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  #6  
Old 02-28-2016, 12:19 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by _ed_ View Post
Volkstok'n'barrell! Welcome back big guy.
AAAAHHHHH Ed I am trying desperately to catch up and this is the first replay I have seen.

THRILLED!!!!!

Good Lord the Derby..... coming up way too fast!
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  #7  
Old 02-28-2016, 06:33 PM
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RAGHU

colt, Showcasing-Fantasy World

Trainer: Tony Pike (no Derby wins)
Jockey: Michael McNab (no Derby wins)

8 starts
2 wins
3 seconds
2 thirds

NZ$178,050

1st Karaka 3YO Mile
2nd Waikato Guineas
3rd Avondale Guineas

What a tough horse. When he comes around the home turn and the others start running at him, it always looks like he's going to drop out and finish way back. But he never does. He refuses to surrender, he keeps fighting and he comes back. He is sensational to watch.

But there has to be some doubt over his stamina. His sire Showcasing is known for very speedy two-year-olds, and his running style doesn't lend itself to such a gruelling trip. But he's another horse who keeps proving us wrong.

Odds: 12

Last edited by _ed_ : 02-28-2016 at 08:58 PM.
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  #8  
Old 02-28-2016, 08:57 PM
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TAVAGO

gelding, Tavastock-Sara Ann

Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young (no Derby wins)
Jockey: Noel Callow (AUS) (no Derby wins)

5 starts
2 wins
1 seconds
1 thirds

NZ$66,275

1st Wellington Stakes
3rd Karaka Mile
13th Waikato Guineas

For most of the season he's been my Derby horse, but his run in the Waikato Guineas was just terrible. Obviously he's a much better horse than that, but he's going to have to turn things around big time.

Odds: 12
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  #9  
Old 02-28-2016, 09:01 PM
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WHAT'S THE STORY

colt, Savabeel-Tall Story

Trainer: Stephen McKee & Eddie Chippendale (no Derby wins)
Jockey: Sam Spratt (no Derby wins)

6 starts
2 wins
0 seconds
0 thirds

NZ$18,725

6th Trevor Eagle Memorial
7th Great Northern Guineas

It's been an up-and-down season. He scored a brilliant win on debut, then struggled in his next few starts including a couple of strong stakes races. But then, in his most recent race, he was an unbelievable winner. If he can repeat that performance he's got a really good chance to win this.

Odds: 12
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  #10  
Old 02-29-2016, 06:09 PM
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HUMIDOR

gelding, Teofilo-Zalika

Trainer: Johno Benner & Hollie Wynyard (no Derby wins)
Jockey: Mark Du Plessis (no Derby wins)

3 starts
1 wins
2 seconds
0 thirds

NZ$11,775

No stakes races

This is one of the most exciting three-year-olds in NZ. He has incredible talent. His acceleration is amazing. But it's possible that the Derby is just a bit too soon for him. It's only his fourth start.

He should have won his last race, but his head was sideways all the way down the stretch. He's got a lot of growing up to do and he's got a lot to learn. I don't know if he'll do it by Saturday. But he's in my top three.

Odds: 16
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  #11  
Old 02-29-2016, 06:16 PM
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THE HASSLER

gelding, Shocking-Zaquabeel

Trainer: Roger James (Tidal Light 1986, Roysyn 1995, Zonda 1997, Hades 1999, Silent Achiever 2012)
Jockey: Michael Coleman (Cut The Cake 2003, Xcellent 2004)

8 starts
2 wins
0 seconds
0 thirds

NZ$26,150

5th Avondale Guineas

He didn't do much in his first few starts, but he has been fantastic since he started running over longer distances. I liked the way he finished in the Avondale Guineas.

He's a son of the Melbourne Cup winner Shocking, and there is no doubt he'll have the stamina for this race. Plus his trainer and jockey know how to win a Derby!

Odds: 16
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  #12  
Old 02-29-2016, 06:36 PM
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Noms for Derby day are up.

What an amazing line-up for the Darley Plate! I love the Sunline Vase too.
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  #13  
Old 03-01-2016, 09:37 PM
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So the next one obviously has to be...

CAPELLA

filly, Rip Van Winkle-Limerick

Trainer: Danica Guy (no Derby wins)
Jockey: Leith Innes (Wahid 2006)

6 starts
3 wins
0 seconds
1 third

NZ$82,225

1st Eight Carat Classic
3rd Sir Tristram Fillies' Classic

Unexpectedly entered for the Derby today, sending her odds plummeting from 26 to 7.5. She was exceptional in the Eight Carat on Boxing Day, but then bad weather and slight injuries ruled her out of the Royal Stakes, Levin Classic and Desert Gold Stakes.

She's only had one race since the Eight Carat, an unlucky third in the Sir Tristram. She's obviously good enough to do this, but I'm just not sure if she's had enough racing to prepare her. She adds a TON of interest and mystery to this race.

Odds: 7.5
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