Bet Mix

[Easy Goer Otis]

I love Betmix and use it all the time, basically as a race simulator. Here's how I use it:

For a meet you follow closely (in my case, AP, Haw, Rem, OP):

I use mixmaker to build a database of mixes based on conditions and distance of the race types at those tracks (i.e 6f dirt sprints for claimers 10-25k) Then apply those mixes to the race you are 'capping and stick it on the BetPad. I run as many mixes as horses in the race.

This provides a set of simulations. I use it in to guide my wagering in two ways:

1) If a single horse keeps popping up as the winner in every simulation, he's probably a favorite I'm going to have trouble beating. Or on the positive side, maybe worth using as a single in multi race wagers.

2) if a long shot pops up 2-3 times, I'm looking hard at that horse.

For stakes races and graded events:

I keep a database of graded stakes mixes that I apply to all the big races. For example, I ran simulations on on all the Breeders Cup races using the 2012 and 2013 BC mixes. It gave me Bayern in the Classic, as I recall.

It's also fun to run mixes of the prep races and apply them to the big race and see if the original winner of each prep race still pops up.

Two caveats:

1) it's not as predictive for 2YO maiden races, as the more past performance data, the better Betmix works.

2) European data is not integrated, so I don't use it for any races containing shippers from foreign countries, unless they have a few races on American turf/soil.

It's a neat tool. I am always maxed out at 200 mixes. Wish they would let you do more.

Have fun with it, and good luck!

Cheers,

Otis