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Old 10-25-2013, 11:28 AM
Travis Stone's Avatar
Travis Stone Travis Stone is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Louisiana
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up View Post
I think your wrong, to a degree. I think the favorites in many of the races are strong, though it might be more than one horse, I dont think you have to go too deep this year.

Distaff - Royal Delta or Princess of Sylmar are going to win
Classic - If Game on Dude breaks on top he is going to win
FM Turf - Dank looks serious to me
Juvenile - Havana looks like a standout on paper, Tap it Rich has talent
Sprint - I dont think you have to look further than Pointsoffthebench or Private Zone

I dont count the other pretend races as real BC races, but in the main event races I dont think it looks that competitive (though I will still bet some overylays)

I suppose in the classic one could take the view it could totally melt down, but on paper, there is a true standout.
I could easily be wrong, but I think some of these are excellent bet againsts. I would never want to take something-to-five on Game on Dude when Fort Larned has one way to go (and he goes fast) and Moreno as well. Top contender? Absolutely... could easily win by 10. But that doesn't make him a sound wagering proposition.
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