Saratoga oddity

[Calzone Lord]

I've been astonished by the run of dirt races carded since August 9th with projected slow early paces.

It's a random thing, obviously.

But, excluding 2yo stakes races, since Friday, only a single dirt race had a pace projected to be faster than a 3 (on an 11 point scale, from 0-to-10)

That lone race had a 6, which indicates a faster than average pace, and it was 8/11 race #3: http://www1.drf.com/drfPDFChartRaces...=20130811&RN=3

Unbelievably, the Do I Amuse You race, with a 3 (fairly favorable to front runners) was the second fastest projected pace in a non-2yo stake dirt race carded since Thursday.

Today's five dirt races, had projected paces of 0, 1, 2, 1, and 1 -- all of them slanted to race shapes favoring forwardly placed horses.

I looked at Wednesday's and Thursday's card, and nothing on dirt with a projected hot pace either day.

It's all random, this kind of thing. You can flip a coin, and 10 times in a row it might land on heads. I'm all keyed up waiting for the next dirt race to be carded with a hot early pace. They are certainly due to come.