4/5: Gulfstream (4th-13th); Keeneland (6th-10th)

[Kasept]

Meet comes to a close with the highly anticipated bonus jackpot in the Rainbow 6 and predictably, there is a wrinkle in the fascinating opportunity with weather a potential factor. I'm still in Florida and Thursday afternoon saw a torrential, soaking storm that had to at least soften the turf course a tad. That was OK as the speedy strip needed some moisture, but more thunderstorm activity is expected this morning (Wunderground.com) with chances for more in the afternoon. Doubt anything comes off the turf unless the rain is relentless. Otherwise, be tuned in to what the surfaces tell you in races 1-7. Will update throughout the morning on ATR and later here. Keeneland opens today as discussed with Marty McGee Thursday. P5 thoughts included below..


RAINBOW 6 RACES (9th, 12th, 13th) OFF THE TURF


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Lil Red Cozette 6-1 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #1 Iroquois Girl 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Cappachino Gal 5-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Lou Doctor Lou 10-1 7th


5th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 11f-T/0' (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Scampering 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #1 Qushchi 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Heart of Destiny 6-1 4th


6th: MSW, 3+, 9f-T/60' (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 (POE) Seekingthediamond 5-1 2nd/WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #1 Darley entry 5-2 5th/6th
Exotics Use: #8 Ocean City 5-1 4th (3rd for wagering)
Super Add: #5 Tiz a Homerun 6-1 8th


7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Six Queens 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Taradise 5-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Angel's Glory 3-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Saint Aggie 6-1 4th


8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$1,961,806 Mandatory Pay Jackpot Rainbow 6 starts here..

Interesting start to sequence with likely winner in Pletcher's #10 Sweet N Discreet (7-2), but another 6-7 lurkers poised to jump up should she fail to fire..

Most Likely: #10 Sweet N Discreet 7-2 (A) WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #3 Union Made 8-1 (B) 3rd
Best Value: #4 Dreamlicious 12-1 (B) 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Fame and Fortune 6-1 (B) 2nd

"C's": #5 On Parole 12-1; #8 Akron Moon 12-1 (C)


9th: MDN CLM ($35k), 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 King Khalifa 2nd
Next Best: #14 Wild Perfection WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #7 Withalottalove 7th
Exotics Use: #8 He's Hollywood 3rd


10th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Jordan's Image 4-1 (A) 4th
Best Value: #4 Monroe Court 6-1 (A) 5th
Next Best: #5 Morality 3-1 (A) 10th
Exotics Use: #3 Positive Action (C) 2nd


11th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Watch for SCR's as #13 Dr. Chase (8-1) would be a danger if drawing in..

Most Likely: #3 Silver Lining John 4-1 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #11 Trinni Heart 12-1 (A) WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #13 Dr. Chase 8-1 (B) 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Herd Mentality 8-1 (B) 3rd
Super Add: #9 Bob and the Gang 20-1 (C) 5th


12th: ALW/N2L, 4+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (DD)

Best Value: #8 Bartolome 2nd
Next Best: #13 Franklinpark 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Crafty Unicorn 4th
Super Add: #6 Wise Maker 7th


13th: MDN CLM ($35k), 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 How Cheeky -
Next Best: #1 Sweet Gator Girl WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Bahia de Oro 3rd
Super Add: #11 Egotist 20-1 -


<$125 P6 Play:

8: 2-3-4-10
9: 4-14
10: 4-5-10
11: 3-6-7-9-11-13
12: 8-13
13: 1-2-6-11

4x2x3x6x2x4 = 1,152 x .10 = $115.20


<$50 P5 Play:

9: 4-14
10: 4-5-10
11: 3-7-11-13
12: 8-13
13: 1-2

2x3x4x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

10: 4-5-10
11: 3-6-7-9-11-13
12: 8-13
13: 1-2-6-11

3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72



KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Tormenta Fiera 4-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Rakete 10-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Winds of Bosphorus 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Parnelli 5-1 4th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Liberated 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Flying Rapunzel 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Over the Counter 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Seeking Luck 4-1 6th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Very nice group. Yes I'm Awesome cuts back out of serious GP route while returning to scene of ALW win at this trip last fall. Pletcher, whose KY stats have faultered in recent years, has brought 18 horses to the Bluegrass and you'd expect he'll have them poised for success..

Most Likely: #6 Yes I'm Awesome 4-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Valediction 15-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Luziana Man 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Paso Doble 6-1 10th


9th: Transylvania (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD)

Superb set of sophomore turf routers. Note major rider upgrade on Pyrite Mountain (15-1) who was idled last time at GP against a good group..

Most Likely: #3 Up With the Birds 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Fire Guard 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Jack Milton 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #4 Bambazonki 5-1 6th


10th: CLM, 4+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Marquet Cat 5-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Kitchenman 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Tahoe Warrior 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #3 Calculating Jimmy 7-2 8th


@$75 P5 Play:

6: 4-5-7-9
7: 3-4-8-9
8: 6
9: 2-3-4-6-7
10: 2-7

4x4x1x5x2 = 160 x .50 = $80


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-4-8-9
8: 3-6-8
9: 2-3-4-6-7-8
10: 2-7

4x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve