Your approach and type?

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by pmayjr

Sorry if this question has been wheeled out pover and over again every month, but I'm curious to know 2 things about you-

Based on all the picks and selections that I see on here for upcoming races:

1) Do you guys handicap races the night/morning before the races, or is there anyone else like me that doesn't touch a DRF until about 10 minutes to post time?
I can't ever put in my 2 cents (except on BC and TC days) unless you asked me about 5 minutes before race time. I wanna know all the factors going right beofre races time. Track condition, scratches, odds,potential payoffs, everything. Morning Lines can be too misleading for that.

I like to make a preliminary line the night before for any race I think might be of betting interest. I can easily adjust that line for any of the late changes you list.

Originally Posted by pmayjr

2) What kinda of betting do you guys do?
I usually do Exacta and Tri Box's, and WP bets on longshots. I don't usually touch Supers, or Doubles, and Pick "#'s"

90% of my bets are win bets.

Originally Posted by pmayjr

3) What do you guys usually do better with? Do you guys have better success betting the Belmonts, Gulfstreams, the more established tracks, or the crap tracks? Or do you have a style that seems to work well for both (don't give a pompass answer to this pelase)?
I say this time and time again, but I do so much better betting 5k claimers at Mountaineer than I ever do at Belmont. Longshots pop everywhere, but at crappier tracks I think they hit more often.

I usually bet the bigger tracks. I pass on virtually all maiden races and rarely bet 2-yr-olds.

Originally Posted by pmayjr

4) any betting advice... on anything for me? We have some of the best minds in the sport in this forum. Your advice is valued...

My #1 piece of advice is to make your own fair odds line, preferably NOT by pulling numbers out of a hat. (Your line should work out to a 100% probability if you sum up 1/(ODDS+1) for each horse.) I've often felt I'd want to bet a horse at, say, 3-1, but after making a complete line, the 3-1 clearly wasn't good enough. Never make a bet unless you are getting more than your fair odds estimate.

--Dunbar