8/27: Saratoga (Day 31-B. Baruch; $67+ C/O)

[Kasept]

Nearly a $68k carryover for the pre-Travers Day card at the Spa after the odd couple of McGaughey and Aquillino scored 11-1 and 9-1 victories in the 9th and 7th respectively. Other than those two upsets, it was a numbingly chalky afternoon... Without wanting to rush things along too much, I do have to say that everything this week has seemed like a dull prequel to what lies ahead Saturday and Sunday here at Saratoga. And with Dee Tee's Ausable Chasm now signed on as part of the Personal Ensign undercard (2nd race), the weekend can't get here soon enough. The P6 is approached below, and it's part of a fun card that has several quirky twists. Hope you did OK Thursday and are ready for a tremendous weekend of racing including The Travers Day festivities, Rachel & Life at Ten, Pacific Classic Day at Del Mar, Juvenile Showcase at Calder and more!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Charles Dowd-NY, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Driven by Success 1-1: Couldn't get lead in last.. WON ($2.50)
Best Value: #1 Groomedforvictory 4-1: Cozy stalking trip under Ramon.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Uncle T Seven 5-1 4th
Super Add: #4 SCR


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Very good 7/8ths ALW for Empire missys..

Most Likely: #7 Roderick 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 SCR
Next Best: #3 One Turn Eddie 3-1 5th
Super Add: #6 SCR

SCR Add: #1 Reading Group 4-1 2nd


3rd: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Pawleys Porch 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Grand Strategy 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Megaholtz 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Deadly Catch 6-1 5th


4th: 2nd Pleasant Colony, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Our Dark Knight 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Trickmeister 7-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #4 Regal Warrior 10-1 3rd


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$67,800 P6 Carryover Starts Here..

Best Value: #9 Erma Lee 5-1: Had eventful trip in bow.. 7th
Next Best: #6 Tiz My Time 9-5: Tried Ascot Grp 3 and did OK.. 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Queen Mars 15-1: Maker effective in lawn route debuts.. 8th
Super Add: #8 Holidaysatthefarm 8-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-3-7
3: 3-5-6
4: 1-2-3-4
5: 6-9

3x3x4x2 = $72


6th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Challenging dozen..

Best Value: #11 Mr. Madison 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Tall Poppi 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Billy Bear 7-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Stealth Missle 5-1 WON ($19.20)


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Simply an eye-crossing assembly of equally talented turf routers that happen to starter eligible. Every entrant has recent ITM finishes that put them within reach of the winner's circle here. In addition, there is a perfect set of running styles signed on to ensure an honestly run race. Search for karma angles, include prices and spread in multis. No opinion will be silly here..

Best Value: #6 Versailles Road 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Upgrade 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Too Big Too Fail 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Targhee Pass 8-1 8th


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Oh super.. A turf sprint! And perfectly placed to destroy actual handicapping and multi-race wagering strategy!

Best Value: #3 Follia 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 SCR
Exotics Use: #7 Conflicted 10-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Tudor King 8-1 3rd


9th: Bernard Baruch (G2), 3+, 9f-IT (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 BALETTI 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Get Stormy 9-5 WON ($3.90)
Exotics Use: #6 Rogue Victory 12-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Raddical Sabbatical 8-1 4th


10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Brampton 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #2 Bronzed 6-1 10th
Next Best: #5 Holy Place 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Elleway 10-1 8th


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 6-9
6: 2-5-8-11
7: 1-6-7
8: 1-3
9: 1
10: 2-4

2x4x3x2x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-6-7
8: 1-3-4-7-9
9: 1
10: 2-4-5-6-11

3x5x1x5 = $75


Good luck!
Steve