8/2: Saratoga (Day 10-Amsterdam)

[Kasept]

First quarter of Spa session draws to a close Monday after an eclectic weekend that featured perfect weather, robust crowds and good racing. Tony Dutrow, featured on Monday morning's ATR, enjoyed a particularly good Sat./Sun with A Little Warm taking the Jim Dandy ahead of Winslow Homer punching his Travers ticket in the listed Curlin. At Monmouth, Lookin at Lucky scored a visually impressive win in the Haskell, and we will wait and see if Bob Baffert tries to duplicate Point Given's achievement of winning at Oceanport ahead of the Travers. Haskell runner up Trappe Shot, like Afleet Express in the Jim Dandy, gained valuable experience and figures to be that much more prepared for his attempt at the Midsummer Derby.

Wagering was up and down Sunday with the radar picking up some very solid 'Best Value' horses for random hits, but the multis missing their mark. $12.20 Six Flings survived an inquiry to stay up in the 4th, and keyed a $131.00 triple with Stormin Bolt and Fenway Faithful and Aprilmayjune was sharp winning the Maiden Claiming 5th for $17.40 and $25 exacta with even money Atlantic Beauty. Left money on the table in the late P4 trying to single Unrivaled Belle, and that hurt when Best Value on top Enniskillen paid a nice $15.00 on top of the short number favorites. The P4 investments could be defrayed pretty well with $69.50 P3 with Winslow Homer and Malibu Prayer. Not a bad day but exited the weekend feeling like there were opportunities missed over the two days. Hope you did OK... Amsterdam the feature today at Saratoga with possibility of some rain.


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Use #11 (AE) Auric Girl in your exotics should she draw in. Is alternating efforts and is ready for a good one despite Studart..

Most Likely: #10 Lisa Jean 3-1 WON ($8.20)
Best Value: #5 Loyal Shadow 10-1 2ND
Next Best: #8 Spirit of Rose 5-2 6TH
Super Add: #6 Pretty Cozzy 7-2 5TH


2nd: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Spa City Lover 3-1 2ND
Best Value: #8 Queen Harbor 4-1 WON ($6.30)
Next Best: #5 SCR
Super Add: #4 Jet Fever 8-1 6TH


3rd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Adam Rides Again 3-1 2ND
Next Best: #5 Saratoga Steve 7-2 4TH
Best Value: #8 E. P. Bombay 10-1 10TH
Super Add: #2 Tudor King 15-1 8TH


4th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 William's Prayer 4-1 8TH
Best Value: #6 Joes Blazing Aaron 10-1 7TH
Next Best: #2 Sunday Splitsville 2-1 WON ($3.20)
Super Add: #7 Kid Curry 10-1 5TH


5th: CLM, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Rocketing Returns 4-1 3RD
Next Best: #7 Ferentz 8-1 4TH
Exotics Use: #8 The Round House 5-1 5TH
Super Add: #3 Ball Four 5-2 7TH


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 5-6-8
3: 5-6-8
4: 2-4-6-7
5: 4-7

3x3x4x2 = $72


6th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Very difficult turf sprint with platers of various drop and hop..

Most Likely: #2 Redefined 3-1 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #10 Pewter 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Gold Vendetta 4-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Cires 8-1 8th


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Intriguing betting race with favorite meriting edge but a host of options at fat totes beyond her..

Most Likely: #2 Australis Princess 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #8 Alykela 20-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Mythical Yarn 4-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Wise Choice 12-1 2nd


8th: 18th Amsterdam (G2), 3yo, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Safe Trip 4-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Latigo Shore 9-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Discreetly Mine 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Super Add: #1a General Maximus 6-1 9th


9th: CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (Super)

Best Value: #10 Sweet Like Sugar 15-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Zodiac Girl 3-1
Exotics Use: #7 Performing 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Zapparition 8-1 WON ($25.00)


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-6-8-10
7: 2-8
8: 3-5-8
9: 8-10

6x2x3x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve