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Old 01-30-2010, 06:54 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,855
Default 1/30: Gulfstream (6th-10th); Santa Anita ($62k C/O)

TODD WINS, I LOSE: 'Todd Pletcher Day' at Gulfstream as powerhouse barn bested the Hallandale oval in 3 of 4 races between the 5th-8th, including 'catch me if you can' gambit by Drover ($10.80) in the 7th. Short priced I'll Take Two ($4.00) and Uwannapieceofthis ($7.00) swiped the 5th and 8th for Johnny V. and "TAP", and as anyone who follows my selections probably realizes by now, when Pletcher wins, it is often without my money. Now that his barn has heated back up after a lengthy drought, his horses will again be invariably overbet. I don't mind including the chalky ones that demand inclusion, but I'm happy to bet against the outfit if possible. It was notable yesterday that Frank Alexander and Javy Castellano took a clue from Pletcher-Velasquez win with Drover, as Lakeside Chapel ($17.40) was sent winging in the nightcap too and held on to nab his diploma. Hope you did OK Friday.

BIG WEEKEND AND NO FOOTBALL DISTRACTIONS... UNLESS YOU COUNT THE PRO BOWL AS FOOTBALL: Great weekend of action as Sunshine Millions and Magna 5 return to the landscape Saturday, while Santa Anita ended the day with a $62k carryover to boot! And Sunday is going to be particularly good with a fabulous card in South Florida featuring the chock full 'o fillies Forward Gal (G2) and the G1 Santa Monica highlighting the Arcadia slate.

ALBANY MOVES AND THE HEAVENS WEEP: It appears we finally have a vendor to build and operate the Aqueduct VLT parlor as Governor Paterson tabbed 'Aqueduct Entertainment Group' as the franchise operator for the '9 years in the making' racino makeover. Hallelujah! 30 days to hammer out the agreement apparently and perhaps 6 months to get the initial 3,000 (of 4,500) one-armed bandits installed. There is certainly going to be some grumbling from losing bidders, and bitter Penn Gaming already said earlier this week they are surprised the deal was heading to New York-based entities. Really? They were surprised that the State of New York was more interested in giving this lucrative contract for construction and revenue to New York-based business interests? What planet are these Penn Gaming people from exactly? Why shouldn't this contract go to interests from within the state instead of carpet-baggers?


GULFSTREAM


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Gothics Peak 5-2 6th
Next Best: #6 First Dude 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 The Director 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Marching Tune 8-1 4th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-Inner Turf (P4, P3, DD, Super)

#14 (AE) Cruisin'nthebridle (4-1) a use should she get in..

Most Likely: #5 Flying Spur 3-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Speak Easy Gal 4-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Miss M V P 15-1 6th
Super Add: #1 (POE) Rosie's Princess 15-1 Eased


8th: 8th Sunshine Millions Sprint, CA/FL 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Pashito the Che 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 This Ones for Phil 9-5 WON
Best Value: #1 Machismo 5-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Accredit 6-1 4th


(MAGNA 5 LEG B) 9th: 8th Sunshine Millions Distaff, CA/FL F&M-4+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Sweet Repent 2-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Even Road 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Jessica is Back 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #8 Scolara 12-1 6th


(MAGNA 5 LEG D) 10th: 8th Sunshine Millions Turf, CA/FL 4+, 9f-Outer Turf (Super)

SCR #9 Wicked Style & likely #3 Duke of Mischief..

Most Likely: #8 Soldier's Dancer 8-5 4th
Best Value: #4 Bad Action 10-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Jet Propulsion 4-1 WON
Super Add: #7 Fearless Eagle 12-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-5-11
8: 1-4-6
9: 4-6-7
10: 4-8

4x3x3x2 = $72 (Or $36 for .50)



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


(MAGNA 5 LEG C) 6th: 8th Sunshine Millions F&M Sprint, CA/FL 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

As discussed on ATR, a brutally deep and potentially chaotic race..

Most Likely: #10 Dubai Majesty 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Miss McCall 9-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Dotsy Jean 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Libor Lady 6-1 11th


(MAGNA 5 LEG E) 7th: 8th Sunshine Millions F&M Turf, CA/FL F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Tight Precision 7-2 WON
Next Best: #1 Closeout 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Pretty Unusual 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 You Lift Me Up 8-1 5th


8th: 8th Sunshine Millions Classic, CA/FL 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 The Usual Q. T. 5-2 9th
Best Value: #4 Palladio 30-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Acclamation 10-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Bold Chieftan 6-1 WON


9th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Red Sun 8-5 WON
Best Value: #10 Hidden Blessing 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Atticus Jack 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Wolgan Valley 12-1 4th


10th: S/ALW, 4+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Bullfighter 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Scofield Barracks 8-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Proud Hillbilly 7-2 6th
Super Add: #6 Exile 8-1 5th


11th: MDN CLM, 4+, 5.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #4 High Tide Rising 5-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Don't Answer 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Chailepis 3-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Stake a Claim 5-1 11th
High 5 Play: #3 Ol'dogtown 6-1 3rd


<$200 P6 Play:

6: 3-10
7: 1-2
8: 4-7-9-10-11
9: 2
10: 1-2-5-6-8
11: 4

2x2x5x1x5x1 = 100 x $2 = $200

$2 Pick 6 Conso (12/2/9/2/8/4) Paid $175.00 x 2 = $350.00


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 4-7-9-10-11
9: 2-8-10
10: 1-2-5-6-8
11: 4

5x3x5x1 = $75

$2 Pick 4 (9/2/8/4) Paid $472.30


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-31-2010 at 05:48 AM.
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