BC Euro's

[The Indomitable DrugS]

My big angle going into last years Breeders Cup was, on synthetic, I want the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 5th strings Euro's and not the one the bettors gravitatie to.

I know I talked about that a lot with Vol Jack and some others before the BC's entries last year ... but as it turned out, only 2 BC races on synthetic had more than one Euro in it. I was very upset about that.

The Marathon had 2: 7/5 favorite Sixties Icon and eventual $26.80 winner Muhannak.

The Classic had 3: 9/1 shortest Euro Duke of Marmalade - 13/1 second string Euro Raven's Pass won and 19/1 third string Euro Henrythenavigator was 2nd.

Looking to this year ... a horse like Gitano Hernando won the Goodwood at 18/1 odds ... but he had weak form and had another Euro with halfway respectable form come over for the Goodwood ... I really believe Gitano Hernando would have been CLEARLY the longest shot on the board in the Goodwood.

He was hammered to 18/1 odds on the basis of a first time Euro angle that would have lost a ton of steam had a perceived superior Euro come over with him.

This year - I have the same "our American horses really suck" feeling in a lot of divisions ... but I also think you will have to avoid the Euro's who bring the best form over... especially in the synthetic track races.

I've never been a big fan of Euro's 2nd time in North America either.

I know there is a strong contrarian case forming to play against the Euro's all day long on the basis that they project to be overbet ... but there's one huge problem with that ... a lot of our divisions are pure crap.

I will try to avoid the Euro with the best form .. and I will become most attracted to the ones who make me say "they sure did come a long way to be double digit odds... and I bet they don't even know how bad the American horses suck historically in this division compared to past years"