6/10: Belmont (4th-9th)

[Kasept]

Hope everyone enjoyed the terrific day of racing despite my being of very little help. The challenging day turned into a bit of a struggle and chase scenario thanks to Desormeaux and Pennington being allowed to get away with murder in the 4th. Alan Garcia should be embarrassed by his performance on Expansion, and indeed apologized to McLaughlin afterwards who was plenty disgusted. That killed my early P4 and set an early negative tone.

One of the bright spots that kept the day from being dreadful, was catching a nice P3 hooking Sette E Mezzo (Likely)-Fabulous Strike (Likely)-Diamondrella (Value) together for $287 ($2). That provided some encouragement which proved short-lived when This One's for Phil failed to rally from down inside and Munnings, in whom I had zero interest, ran huge.

Nice priced 'Super Add' Gabby's Golden Girl was on a few of my multi tickets, but not one with either Munnings or Summer Bird on the other ends. Lost $250 on the day, which was very frustrating given how many great prices were available in so many areas. Hope you did well! It was a perfect day at Belmont with just enough people to make it festive but not so many that it was a pain. Saw a number of DTers, Dee Teers and ATR listeners, and everyone seems particularly excited to get to Saratoga.

Wednesday week-starter at Belmont is VERY challenging, so the potential for big balloons exists...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Roaring Ghost 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 For Love Alone 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Fairy Wand 3-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Stormie Gray 10-1 5th


5th: S/HCP, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Future Prospect 8-5 WON
Best Value: #3 More Than a Reason 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Even Raise 9-5 2nd


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Brutal, low level starter handicap with returnees and inconsistant sorts..

Most Likely: #9 Treat Her Right 7-2 6th
Best Value: #7 Our Montana Dream 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Dose of Reality 5-2 9th
Super Add: #4 Justinline 4-1 3rd


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Hot Money 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Cardiff Road 20-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Joey's Chance 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Brecciate 4-1 8th


8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #4 Torpedo Run 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #1 Reptillian Smarts 7-5 3rd
Next Best: #3 Mister Triester 4-1 2nd


9th: MSW, 3+, 7f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Tawaared 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #11 Courageous Cat 8-1 WON
Next Best: #10 Smax 5-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Dukinfield 12-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

Super tricky sequence, and the only approach that appears to make sense, is to troll for prices while swinging for the fences with single..

6: 4-5-7-9-10
7: 2-4-6
8: 4
9: 4-5-7-10-11

5x3x1x5 = $75


Good luck!
Steve