Believable ROI and Win %

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

Excellent ROI for your exacta boxes. (I'm assuming you're counting the box as 2 bets.)

Your lowish ROI for win bets, given your fine hit rate, is probably due to being constrained to provide a daily best bet opinion at this particular venue. I have no doubt that if you were providing a daily best bet (or bets) covering a number of tracks, allowing you to better pick your spots, your ROI would probably be around $2.40 or so.

Yes - the box is counted as two bets.

I've had a $283 one that was 2nd pick over top pick and a $156.40 top pick over 2nd pick that have helped to inflate the ROI for that stat.

The high win rate has a lot to do with picking winners. My largest win mutual through the first 19 racing days is only $17.40 .. but I've had 11 winners pay between $10 and $17.40

A lot of my clever - more esoteric type longshots I've put 2nd .. and that has really helped the top 2 in an exacta box stat.

My best bet of the day is now 10-for-19 (52.6%) with a $2.66 ROI after today. I've hit with my last six in a row. They've paid $11.00, $3.60, $3.20, $6.20, $3.40, and $4.20