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Old 03-01-2009, 12:27 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,984
Default 3/1: Gulfstream (7th-10th)

Suffered the slings and arrows of proverbial outrageous fortune Saturday as a bad budget decision (AQU) and 2 key omissions in the anchor legs of the GP Pick 4 and Magna 5 left an unforgiveably large amount of money on the table. I simply didn't see the Pletcher runaway winner in the Gulfstream nightcap, and there isn't much to add about the Magna except that I still liked the ticket structure that got me the first 4 legs when looking back after the sequence.

Went 2x3x5x5 leading up to using Tough Apples and 2nd choice Powerofvoodoo in the SA 5th (Leg E). Catching the Fountain of Youth and Golden Gate winners with 25 multiples seems well worthwhile, as they were the trickiest parts of the play. It came down to making anchor leg winner Bootleg Annie my 3rd choice instead of the 2nd. If I prefer her to Powerofvoodoo, the $8k+ payoff is there.

Earlier in the afternoon I had short-armed the Aqueduct P4, which AGAIN paid handsomely, so it was a pretty frustrating afternoon all in all. Hope you did OK... Interested in what looks like a potentially lucrative Quad at GP this p.m.


GULFSTREAM


7th: ALW/N$Y, F&M-3yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 French Dip 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 War Kill 5-1 WON
Exotics Use: #3 Consequence 3-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Gadda Da Vida 10-1 6th


8th: ALW/NSY, 4+, 5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Blackwater Legend 4-1 8th
Best Value: #6 New Believer 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Crack the Cognac 5-2 4th
Super Add: #11 Distortedamusement 8-1 7th


9th: Davona Dale (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Justwhistledixie 4-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Casanova Move 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Frolic's Dream 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Renda 5-1 4th


$1 Exacta (7-8) Paid $40.50
$1 Trifecta (7-8-4) Paid $127.00
$1 Superfecta (7-8-4-5) Paid $334.70



10th: ALW/N$Y, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Thoughtless Moment 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Remoulade 5-1
Best Value: #5 Sandstorm Cat 12-1
Super Add: #2 Pastel Gal 4-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-4
8: 4-6-8-11
9: 4-5-7-8
10: 5-7-8

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 03-01-2009 at 04:52 PM.
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