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  #19  
Old 01-08-2009, 07:31 AM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
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Okay kgb, here it is, Bigs' MCL 8-7000 logic as warped as it is. From the bottom to the top:

11 - Fiore De - Doesn't seem to have the speed to get to the front and hasn't exactly been finishing with a flourish. Cronk/Homeister have had 4 previous tries at this level and haven't gotten it done. Probably won't get it done today either.
10 - Trial Ridge - 11 tries, the only time hitting the board was on an off track. 19 BSF is his top in those 11 tries. Next.
9 - Winblaiseandshow - Another that doesn't have the speed to get to the front and does not finish (esp. at 6f). No shot.
8 - Supposeo - Lost by double digit lengths each time out. Did flash some speed in the slop. Only 5 starts, so possible improvement there, but not today.
7 - Speculator - Beyers improving since layoff. Showed some speed in last and has a big shot here. Will be underlayed and HVG will f' it up.
6 - Marquizi - Why ship to TuP? This horse is really bad. 20 tries to no avail.
5 - Heza King - Unlike others in here, he's only had 1 bad race. It was his only race, but I'm willing to give Allen and Allen one more crack at it before giving up on this one. Look for a better break today and this one will be more involved. Maybe.
4 - Proficient One - Dropping down for this one, but there is a reason he has been going two turns....he's slow. Look for him to trail the field with a 1% jock aboard.
3 - No Show Bill - The obvious one for me. Draw a line through the two turn slop try and the race two back crushes these. Only 4 fast track tries is a positive.
2 - Sweetsoutherndance - Four ugly races here last year. Owen McQuade is no miracle worker so I'm not expecting a big improvement off the long layoff. Nope.
1 - Double Duke - IMO the speed of the race. The 1 post forces their hand to go in order to get any position and avoid traffic. Look for Cruz to gun to the lead and try to run them off their feet. Hopefully he can relax at some point and the class drop can carry him home.

The 3 could be a single, but I don't trust him that much. 1,3,5 for me.

Go ahead and have yourself a good laugh now.
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