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Old 12-11-2008, 08:30 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
I think they are hoping for an easy confidence builder for her. If she doesn't crush these, it's off to the shed.

Probably a bit saltier than they had planned though. She will be pressured from the word go and she doesn't like to pass horses. It may set up nicely for Lil's Lassie or Orinoquia to catch them at the wire.
I thought at first glance that it would be a walk to the line for her, but digging in a bit - this is a tricky race.

Mayomast looks to me to be the real threat to her on the front end (and also looks to be the reason for the screwy condition) - the other speed is cutting back from route (save for Salty Wave who is doomed by the 11 post and would have to run back to last summer form to get involved) and don't see TMad, DDay, or PGem going sub 22/45. Possibly 3 distinct flights with the off pace runners having alot of work to do getting through late speed that won't come back to 'em.

I like your idea with Lil's Lassie, but I'm going to take a long look at Fotografica if I'm going to use an off the pace type. Very interesting race
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