7/30: Saratoga (Day 7; C/O)

[Kasept]

Week 2 kicks off with a $42k carryover after Monday's wild bombfest, and Wednesday card looks challenging. Reversed a multi-year trend of starting this meet slowly before finishing strong, and am unsure how the good opening week, thanks to robust P4 hit, will impact my own play. I cannot recall getting up this much so early during Saratoga, and have a very placid mood going through cards right now. That is making me hopeful that the knowing that the meet is 'made' will result in good decision making going forward...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES...

1st: Ninepin Novice, 4+, 16.5f-National Hurdles (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Dynaski 5-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Discreet Charmer 12-1 6th
Next Best: #3 C R's Deputy 7-2 7th
Super Add: #8 Seer 5-1 2nd

$1 EXA Paid $13.70


2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Akilina 5-2 WON
Next Best: #3 Glory Gold 3-1 4th
Best Value: #1 SCR
Super Add: #5 Sneakin Up 6-1 2nd

$1 DD Paid $8.00
$1 EXA Paid $9.00


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Kapanga 4-1 WON
Next Best: #9 Queenofalldiamonds 7-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Madam Bling 8-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Sophisticated Lass 15-1 5th

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key #7 1st-2nd-3rd with 3-5-8-9-10 (1x5x4x3 = 60 x 3 = 180 x .10 = $18.00)

$1 P3 Paid $21.70


4th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 SCR
Best Value: #5 Hailey's Hero 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Storm Boot Gold 2-1 WON

$1 EXA Paid $17.90
$1 P3 Paid $21.70


5th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Dougie 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Sweet Groom 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Ziptronic 6-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Double Domino 7-2 WON

$1 EXA Paid $22.70


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 3-8
3: 3-7-9
4: 5-7 ($1 P3 Paid $21.70)
5: 1-2-3-5-8-10 ($1 P3 Paid $40.50)

2x3x2x6 = $72

$1 P4 Paid $102.75


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 (POE) Giant Storm 9-2 6th
Best Value: #1 SCR #7 Sky Dragon 8-1
Next Best: #9 Borobudor 8-1 2nd


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Into the Wind 3-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Veritable 5-1 10th
Best Value: #6 SCR #12 Najibe's Time 12-1 5th
Super Add: #1 (POE) Frenchman's Cove 8-1 7th


8th: The De La Rose, F&M-4+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Carriage Trail 7-2 WON
Best Value: #3 SCR #11 Long Approach 10-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Stormy West 3-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Lady Carlock 12-1 4th

$1 DD Paid $28.50


9th: The Fleet Indian, F&M-3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Ice Cool Kitty 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Sagamoon 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Talking Treasure 5-2 WON


10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Valiant Humor 9-2 WON
Best Value: #1 Who Can Bluff 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 SCR #10 Tomlinson Hill 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 SCR #5 Sapphire Eyes 5-1 4th

$1 EXA Paid $15.30



<$150 P6 Play:

5: 8-10
6: 2-7-9
7: 7
8: 4
9: 1-3-7
10: 1-9-10

2x3x1x1x3x3 = 54 x $2 = $108


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-7-8-12
8: 4
9: 1-5-7 ($1 P3 Paid $59.00)
10: 1-2-5-9-10 ($1 P3 Paid $41.50)

5x1x3x5 = $75

$1 P4 Paid $170.50

Good luck!
Steve