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Old 03-16-2008, 11:37 AM
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Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62
Monmouth Park is a very speed favoring track. Add in the Slop which also favors front end speed especially Juves not used to getting mud in there face. He won by a diminishing margin each of his route starts vs Pyro (Pyro cutting into lead). He needed to be challanged on the front end, he was and basically he either is not 100 % or he quit, neither a good place to be this close to the derby. Also, the Juvenile jinx, do you really thing that we go 20 odd years before the Juve winner takes the derby and it happens twice in a row. IMHO this years derby will be a Great betting race.
Runaway slop beyers are deceiving, what did E Dubai get at Belmont if anyone remembers? A 113+ if my memory is correct, take that race out and what are we left with in his route resume, don't forget those routes are 1 turn Belmont efforts, Johanessburg ran huge at Belmont also but never was quite a 2 turn horse. WP is a good horse and it is no fault of his he was hyped, but perhaps the blinders were put on when assessing him here. Everyone loves a brilliant undefeated 2 yr old heading into his derby yr!
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