Tampa Tuesday 02-12-08

[Bigsmc]

pm rain in the forecast today. Not sure when it will start. I've handicapped for fast/firm because I looked at it last night and had no clue it was going to rain.

Race 7 - Hcp 16000s About 1 1/16 Turf

6 - Starlight Serenade - Ran a big one off a brief freshening against much tougher. Centeno off is not a huge concern here as he has gone over to his main man Ness. A repeat of his last will crush these.
5 - Sir Swervalot - Horse for the course with the Centeno/Ness magic. Rattled off several in a row last year in front running fashion.

Race 8 - Clm 16000 1 1/16 Dirt

3 - Prince Nick - Back to Gerald Bennett after a one race stay with DeMasi. Right back to his winning ways.
2 - Admiral's Arch - Drops to a level below his claim price. The all important Ness switch from Ramgeet to his go to guy.
1 - Big Tex - Looks to have the lead from the rail in a short field. Might not look back.

Race 9 - OC 32k/N2X Abt 5.0f Turf

1 - Bikini Atoll - The one to catch from the rail.
2 - Fast Hand - The gap between races are a bit of a concern for this one, but she ran huge in December beating Bikini Atoll.
6 - Remember Shirley - Willing to give this one another chance on the blades. The first turf try was dull. She's a better horse now and will be flying late.
7 - Offbeat Fashion - Not a huge fan of Euros making their first US start going 5f. They tend to break slowly and leave themselves too much work to do late. That said, Clement looks to have this one ready to go. They thought enough of her to throw her to the wolves in the Irish 1000 Guineas last year. Scr
11 - Jp'shanna - Draws in, must overcome the outside post. Fits in perfectly with the top two choices.

Race 10 - Clm 6250 1 1/16 Dirt

6 - Full Exertion - Positive jock switch, slight drop in class and not much to beat = potential winner.
8 - Seducing Mr. G - Positive jock switch, stretch out to a distance that the horse has won twice in two races and not much to beat = potential winner.
10 - Ravishing Ruby - If Willie can settle this one down, she may be the one to beat. Has enough speed to overcome the outside post. Wire to wire candidate. Did I mention, there isn't much to beat here? Scr
4 - Cruzan Fling - Keeps dropping to find the right level. Two wins over this surface.

Small Ticket:
5,6/1,2,3/1,2,6/4,6,8 = $54

Big Ticket:
5,6/1,2,3,4,5/1,2,6,11/4,6,8 = $120

GL