Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
I can't even tell you how many times I will be looking at the Racing Form and see a horse who had to take a long vacation because his trainer rushed him. For example, you will often see a horse that wins first-time out and then the trainer runs him back in 17 days or something like that. You will often see horses take a year off after the trainer does something like that. Horses are more susceptible to injury if you run them when they are tired. In addition, the horses rarely win when they come back so soon. On the other hand, if a trainer gives a horse 26-30 days after winning first-time out, then the horse has a much better chance of winning their 2nd race. Not only that, they have a much better chance of staying sound. That was one of the first things I noticed when I first started going to the track back in the early 1980s. I would see a horse break his maiden very impressively first-time out and these horses would rarely come back and win if they weren't given at least 25 days to recover. Even really good horses would usually get beat if they were brought back in 17 days.
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I've noticed the same thing time and again. You often see a first out winner come back in 2-3 weeks and they usually regress. I like to see 4-5 weeks and a couple of works before the next race.