How Bad is this Derby Betting Strategy?

[Thunder Gulch]

Originally Posted by tycharles01

No reason to hit the ALL button in the Derby. There are gonna be 7-10 horses who will be throw out just based on POST and PACE

I once thought this way and there may be something to it, but I wouldn't have put Giacomo or Closing Argument in my top 8-10. I argued til I was blue in the face with a guy about Bluegrass Cat last year about having him in a trifecta that was 6 deep in second. How about Invisible Ink running second? I had him, but unfortunately singled PG on top of everything I bet that day.

Back to the original question, if you total the numbers of the last 9, you would have a huge return with a simple all/all exacta. Now that is greatly inflated by Giacomo's $9600 bomb, but still you make money in 8 of 9 years. While this isn't the approved betting strategy, I sure wish I was loose enough to be so foolish.