"Inside" information & misguided public?

[Linny]

Speaking of firsters... i was at the Big A yesterday with a skeptical (and often right) friend who works for an AQU trainer. She had the "outofthebox" firster that "dead heated" for second. The works were average but the breeding was great for a debut win. She doubted the works and was rewarded (though I think she was screwed by the DH, the horse ran second ) with the EX.
I had a bad day with maidens as Triumphal looked like the goods to me and was passed late. The winner saved some folks who really bet the other 1/2 of the entry. I did get to feed Triumphal some peppermints after the races and he thinks the jock asked him way too soon!

As for Bush, didn't he used to win first out at about 15%? If that's the case, he may have just hit a patch where some didn't fire as expected or ran into buzz saws. He may also have gotten a few "different" horses ie: a few owners decided to focus on distance racing or grass, where "win early" is very hard.