03-11-2007, 06:09 PM
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Randwyck
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: NY/NJ
Posts: 1,293
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
The idea is to bet against mediocre horses that get reputations that are undeserved. Street Sense, while aided by the dynamics of the race as well as the bias, is not one of these horses.
Look, even if he was the likeliest winner of the Derby at this point, he still is no better than 20-1 in reality. Hell, even sound he probably isn't 60% to make the Derby. However, the idea that he won't make the Derby because he ran too fast in early November is beyond ridiculous.
Street Sense is a very good horse. We don't have a lot of these in actuality anymore. It's possible he may be capable of running more than one or two good races. Ya know, horses used to be able to do this.
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Excellent point.
Eric |
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