Aqueduct Feb. 24th

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Holland Hacker

She is breaking from the rail which has been an advantage of late, seems to me to have enough speed to hold her position on the rail and finsihed 2nd in a simialr race last out. I'm not saying she is a lock but I think she has a shot.



Great point, I had over looked 50 frame, but am skeptical as he faultered going 5 1/2 and finished behind other runners in the field.



I agree. I'll watch the race and reconsider using # 7 Dream Runner - What do you think about Twaummy, or am I reaching there?



You're correct Send Me a Sign did get a HUGE trainer switch, but does Shug usually have horses crnked up for their first start off of a layoff? I think he tends to be a bit more patient.

Thanks for the comments. Where else can you get insight from some of the bet cappers in the country.

Now that Jet Racer did at least what I expected and ran like garbage, clever 4:5 shot, I would dramatically downgrade Dream Runner. As for Twaummy, I suppose he has a chance as it is obviously a terrible field, but I am adament about Send Me a Sign. Hopefully Mike Smith will use his one less than horrific ride for a horse owned by his agent's wife.

IMO, Freedom Ridge has close to no chance whatsoever. The last race she ran in was an extremely oddly run race to say the least and her previous " win " was an even more oddly run race. That day all the riders decided to do whatever was necessary to try and get to the front and rail and a crazy pace ensued. The third finisher made a premature and wide move and the second finisher was completely blocked and blind switched in the stretch and with anything close to a clean trip would have won. Niether of those horses have run well at all, against significantly weaker, in subsequent performances. Now, I am well aware this is a terrible field but Freedom Ridge is probably the worst horse in the race by a reasonable margin. Other than Amber Note, I would not be surprised, however, if anybody else wins.