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Originally Posted by golfer
"3) Some people use it for 'number' power which is fine, but you become REAL good when you use it for 'pattern' power. When you can start predicting a 'top' is when you start hitting some good tickets, and some great exactas"
By the same token, you can also predict bounces or poor races based on identifying patterns you don't like. 2 examples from Saturday at Gulfstream:
Race 1, #1 Complex Goals, recent pattern was 6 (top), 11 and 8..for me the 8 was too close to the top (6), while not getting back to it, making this an unhealthy pattern.
Race 5, #6 British Attitude, recent pattern, 5, 5, then 2 (top), 2 was a 3 point top on turf, thought the horse would bounce off that number.
Now these are 2 examples that I was correct about.. many more that I was incorrecton (Stormy Ray@#@#), but we won't discuss them, although I would like to ask a question about Vicarian in the 4th race. Scav, did you have the TG's for Saturday? This is a horse I absolutely loved... his strange bolting of the turn RUINED my day. Any thoughts?
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Stormy Ray really pissed me off this weekend, that race was nutty, F'n Douglas just went nuts after getting smoked on DOA. GOD DAMN OMAGGIO JUST LOVES TO BURN MY MONEY. I had the TG's this weekend. I actually tossed Vicarian and had Zito's horses (although i didn't like the 1a, I liked the 1) and I had Pletchers firster (sucked in there)(got real lucky in this race as I should have known better on Zito's 1 horse, who ran hard in his first race out on the stretch out). the whole bounce thing is very subjective. I know one very good handicapper that swears it is BS but then you look at TG's and the 0-2=x is a pretty solid angle, especially in dirt racing and quick timing.
Explain
Quote:
Race 1, #1 Complex Goals, recent pattern was 6 (top), 11 and 8..for me the 8 was too close to the top (6), while not getting back to it, making this an unhealthy pattern.
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Was the pattern reading 6,11,8 as last race to first race or 8,11,6 as the 8 was his last race?