8/8: Saratoga (Day 22; Ballston Spa)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Valenzan Day 2-1: Hard hitter lures Irad.. WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #1a Winter's Ghost 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 He's Got This 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Tiberius Maximus 6-1 4th


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

The AE's are very live, so reevaluate after SCR's..

Best Value: #3 Chummers 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Dilielo 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Three Thirteen SCR
Super Add: #8 Daisy Doo 10-1 4th


6th: MSW-$, 2yo, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Favorite Empires King chased Ewing in debut, but hard to believe there isn't a firster or two here that break running..

Best Value: #2 Escape Hall 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Tactics 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Empires King 2-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Funny Factor 10-1 6th


7th: MSW, 3+, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Salamis 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Next Best: #1 Apalta 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Disclaimer 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Blast Furnace 4-1 4th


P4 Grid:

4: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2 (A), 3-5-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x5 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


8th: Ballston Spa (G2), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

SCR Be Your Best who goes to CNL for the Beverly D; Both of Chad's runners look good here..

Best Value: #2 Whiskey Decision 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Maggie Go 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Deep Satin 5-1 2nd
Super Add: ##2 Ozara 6-1 WON ($9.20)


9th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Consider It Done 7-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Backtrack 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Three B's 9-2 WON ($11.40)
Super Add: #6 Uncle Jim 4-1 2nd


10th: MSW, 3+, 1m-Inner

Most Likely: #4 Favorable Scenario 6-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #3 Johny's Rendezvous 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Snare 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Antietam 9-2 6th


P5 Grid:

6: 2-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-5 (A), 3-8 (B), - (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
10: 3-4 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x1x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-2-5 (A), 3-8 (B), - (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-4 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x2x4 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAACA): 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7 in 9th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve