9/4: Saratoga (Day 40; 4th-11th)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA ~ CLOSING DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 4+, 7f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Very difficult read..

Most Likely: #7 Senor Jobim 5-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Float On 5-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Sagamore Mischief 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Swiftsure 8-1 WON ($6.60)


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Scherzando 12-1 2nd ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #4 Voleuse 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 (POE) Russi 9-2 WON ($10.40)/5th
Super Add: #3 Okaloosa 4-1 4th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (Must Pay P6, P3, DD)

Note that the body of the field are all first time starters. The AE's all have made debuts (#'s 11-16) and any that draw in appear to instantly command respect ahead of the #'s 1-10..

Most Likely: #9 Wisecracker 9-2 6th
Next Best: #1 Sorority Prank 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Winwood 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Solo's Fury 5-2 2nd


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (Must Pay P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Snowy Evening 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Overacting 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Smokie Eyes 5-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Waterville 7-2 WON ($8.90)


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Agility Late SCR
Next Best: #8 Win for Gold 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Always Charming 4-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Callaloo 6-1 5th


P5 Grid:

4: 1-7 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
5: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-6-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), 9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-A-C): 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (9-10 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

5: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-6-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), 9-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


9th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 American Know How 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #5 Borletti 6-1 10th
Next Best: #8 Alexis Zorba 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Be There 12-1 4th


10th: Hopeful (G1), 2yo, 7f (DD)

This should be really good..

Best Value: #6 Gold Sweep 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Timberlake 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Valentine Candy 12-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Yo Yo Candy 20-1 10th


11th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-Inner

Next Best: #11 Lt. Mitchell 5-2 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #8 Chulligan 9-2 7th
Super Add: #5 Fake Celebrity 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Unaffected 20-1 10th


P5 Grid:

7: 4-6-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), 9-10 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
10: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 8-11 (A), 5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x2x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (A-C-A-A-A): 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (9-10 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

8: 4-8-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-5-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve