Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2
Its no surprise that Causeway is 10-1 because it always happens when a horse wins near the close of these pools especially since it was the only prep this weekend. I do think the horse has some upside. He didn't break a sweat in that race and seemed to have lots left. The horse breaks very well which is always a plus at the derby. Conditions were not good especially with the wind. Obviously the figures will need to get better but the horse did what he needed in those two Tampa races. I think this horse can progress from here and wouldnt surprise me to be a contender.
|
I agree with you there but would never bet that horse at 10/1. Assuming he makes it to the Derby, what are the chances he’ll be near or above 10/1 on Derby day? I’d say pretty good.
That said, I broke from tradition and decided to put some money on the field this weekend. It was 5/1 when I bet and ended at 4/1. But I feel unimpressed with a lot of these horses, already have Simplification at 43/1, and think there is a chance the Lukas filly or one of the Baffert horses gets in (under another trainer) so I kind of liked that bet. I’ll probably regret it but it wasn’t a huge bet.
03-14-2022, 09:48 AM
Threaded Mode