11/26: Churchill Downs (7th-11th)

[Kasept]

Happy Thanksgiving!


CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Hindsight 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #2 Anoush 7-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Be Like Water 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Happy Success 6-1 8th


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Lake Avenue 3-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Union Maiden 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Casual 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Secondary Market 7-2 2nd


9th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Rubus 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Strike Power 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Sombeyay 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Mucho 15-1 7th


10th: Falls City (G2), F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Our Super Freak 9-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Another Broad 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Envoutante 5-2 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Bonny South 8-5 2nd


11th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Senor Jobim 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Wild Behavior 8-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Girolamo's Attack 7-2 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Uber Kirk 10-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #1 Gallant Plunger 8-1 12th


P5 Grid:

7: 2-5 (A), - (B), 3-9 (C)
8: 6-10 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
10: 2-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
11: 5-10-12 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups: $24 (3-9) + $24 (4-5) + $16 (1-8)


P4 Grid:

8: 6-10 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
9: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
11: 5-10-12 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (4-5)


Good luck!
Steve