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Old 12-30-2006, 05:33 AM
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The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
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Default Saturday plays

This is for you, Steve, thanks to the free Thorograph #'s I'll give it a shot. All picks are based on Thorograph sheet reads, not taking into consideration any track bias that may occur.

Aqueduct:
1st: looks like the 1, Suave Jazz & the 2B, Bold Mon.. Coppertone is dangerous off 0-3-X pattern (I know 0-2-X is considered a positive pattern, not sure about 0-3-X?)

2nd: 4 Weekend Gambler (I love the name) is the fastest of those who have run.. 5,6,7, & 10 are dangerous.

3rd: 7 Abraaj is fastest coming in with 4-7 in last 2, repeat of either should be fast enough

4th: 7 Biohazzard is fastest with pair 10's downside is Sutherland

5th: 7 Jack Atax has best looking pattern, 10 10 9, most likely to run well, 1a Brave Sir Robin can pair 8, and 8 Worthy lover may get back to 8, 6 Skim the Rail bounced on short rest in last, 9 previous

6th: 8 Mr Hamlen off a troubled, buried 4 is fastest, with 1 Sweetiewheatie, 3 Tasteyville and 7 Shuffling Madness

7th: 9 Precise Star, coming off pair 2's at Finger Lakes should win, using 2 D Money, 3 Hesa Lumberjack and 7 Himarshee underneath

8th: 3 Successful Affair is obvious choice, off pair 2's... 4 Angliana bounced in last after running 3 zero's (shorter distances)

9th: 10 Mister Zee seems the most likely, circle back pattern, should run 9 or better... with 5 Pratt, 11 Meeses to Pieces and 9 Start at Five (layoff is troubling)


Tampa Bay: (I am using the 2nd Florida start angle often, we'll see if it's a legitimate one)

1st: 1 Chapped Lips and 8 Taps Return

2nd: 4 Alexander 2nd timer Aleczanndar seems most likely winner

3rd: 3 The Lady Waffles (2nd Florida start) with 8 & 9 underneath

4th: 3 Seabury.. played him 2 weeks ago to get back to the 5 two starts previous, took a ton of money, gate opened.. 1 dimensional speed ball got left and didn't lift a hoof, giving another chance, hopefully at morning line odds or better...with 4, 5 7, 9, 10, 11 and 12
7th: the 2 favorites look the best, 7 Ecru Egret and 8 Tonka Cruz

8th: 6 Rolling True ships in off pair 7's, 2 Secretoftheheart shortens up off 11, 9, 10 pattern, 8 Foret ships in off paired 8's, and the 12 Special Cheers is dangerous at big price going turf to dirt off 17, 11, 8 (turf) pattern.


9th: 2 Belichek is solid 2nd of layoff, 7 Road of Tradition (2nd Florida start) switching surface and distance may be nice price

11th: 8 Shotty (2nd Florida start) going turf to dirt



Calder

2nd: 2 Stormin Bagdhad, short price but looks strong

6th: 8 Splendid in Spring

8th: 2 Outperformance is fastest, with 3, 7, 10
9th: 6 Toll Taker has best pattern

10th: 1 J'Ray is not standout fast, but should move forward with good trip, 6 Rasta Farian is nice price

12th: 12 Cuban Hawk

Good luck to all
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